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Study of soil moisture prediction method based on soil temperature and moisture persistence
WEI Sentao, WANG Chenghai, ZHANG Feimin, YANG Kai
Journal of Arid Meteorology    2023, 41 (5): 783-791.   DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2023)-05-0783
Abstract112)   HTML6)    PDF(pc) (29805KB)(412)       Save

Soil temperature and moisture are the important parameters in land surface process, and they are also important physical parameters in boundary conditions of atmospheric numerical model. This paper tried to obtain spatial-temporal evolution of soil moisture of the model through the machine learning method according to the memory characteristics of soil moisture. Considering the influence of soil temperature on soil moisture, the soil temperature and moisture of ERA5 reanalysis at depths of 0-7, 7-28, 28-100, 100-289 cm are used as predictors to predict changes of soil moisture on a monthly and seasonal scale based on convolutional neural networks (CNN). The results show that the method proposed in this paper is reliable and can effectively predict soil moisture 6 months in advance. The mean bias of predicted soil moisture in the shallow layer (0-28 cm) and deep layer (28-289 cm) is less than 0.05 and 0.02 m3·m-3, respectively. In the humid area, the mean bias is basically within 0.03 m3·m-3, showing a good effect.The prediction method and results presented in this paper can be used for both soil drought prediction and the initial and boundary conditions for numerical models.

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Revised radar precipitation prediction based on ground clutter filter by using the SRTM data
ZHAO Wen, WANG Chenghai, ZHANG Qiang, YUE Ping, ZHAO Ning, DU Lili
Journal of Arid Meteorology    2022, 40 (2): 296-307.   DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2022)-02-0296
Abstract332)   HTML1610612735)    PDF(pc) (6136KB)(1392)       Save

Based on the SRTM (shuttle radar topography mission)data, the ground clutter and other clutters around Tianshui radar station were filtered, then the Z-I function with localized parameters was established on the basis of six precipitation processes with three types in Southeast Gansu after filtering the ground clutter and other clutters of radar data, and at last the reflectivity factor of Xifeng new generation weather radar in Qingyang was compared with the one in Tianshui within the coincidence range. The results show that SRTM data can well simulate the distribution of ground clutter; radar reflectivity is ahead of precipitation; the Z-I function with localized parameters in Tianshui, which had a smaller A and bigger b, is significantly different to common ones; Tianshui new generation weather radar may have a systematic problem of low echo intensity.

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Climate and Circulation Characteristics of Extreme Rainstorm Processes in Gansu from 1981 to 2018
LIU Xinwei,WANG Chenghai,GUO Runxia,YANG Xiaojun,DI Xiaohong
Journal of Arid Meteorology    2021, 39 (5): 750-758.   DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2021)-05-0750
Abstract486)   HTML327)    PDF(pc) (4717KB)(2155)       Save

Based on the hourly precipitation data at 81 national meteorological observation stations of Gansu Province from 1981 to 2018 and NCEP reanalysis data, the climate and circulation characteristics of extreme rainstorms were emphatically analyzed in different falling areas of Gansu Province. The results are as follows: (1) The extreme rainstorm weathers occurred mainly in Longnan, Tianshui, Pingliang and Qingyang of eastern Gansu, and the heavy rainfall centers concentrated in Kangxian and Huixian of Longnan. The extreme rainstorms were classified into four types including eastern Gansu, southern Gansu, southeastern Gansu and dispersion patterns, according to the falling areas of rainstorms. (2) The extreme rainstorms were easily to occur in July and August in Gansu, especially in mid-August. The extreme rainstorms in southern Gansu were earlier than in eastern Gansu. The precipitation of extreme rainstorms at night was more than in the daytime as a whole, the night rain characteristic was remarkable in Gansu, especially in southern Gansu and southeastern Gansu. In additional, the convective characteristic was significant in Gansu. (3) There were 2.5, 5 and 10 years period of extreme rainstorms in Gansu during 1981-2018, and the 2.5-year periodic oscillation was obvious. (4) The extreme rainstorms in Gansu were correlated with the subtropical high, and the falling area of rainstorm was significantly related to the location of subtropical high. Moreover, the extreme rainstorms in eastern Gansu were also related to the easterly airflow at the bottom of northern high ridge, the extreme rainstorms with dispersion pattern were related to the tropical low pressure in South China Sea, while the extreme rainstorms in southern and southeastern Gansu depended on the intensity and location of short-wave trough in Tibet Plateau.

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Numerical Simulation Study of a Tibetan Plateau Vortex over the Western Tibetan Plateau
WANG Xiwen, ZHANG Feimin, WANG Zhilan, YANG Kai, WANG Chenghai
Journal of Arid Meteorology    2021, 39 (1): 54-64.  
Abstract363)      PDF(pc) (3318KB)(1454)       Save
A Tibetan Plateau Vortex (TPV) generated on the western Tibetan Plateau on 14 August 2006 was simulated using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) regional model. Based on the evaluation of the performance of the WRF driven by different reanalysis/analysis datasets including the ERA5 and ERA-Interim data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast, and the final analysis data (FNL) of the global forecasting system of the National Centers for Environment Prediction (NCEP) on the simulation of TPV, the kinematic and thermodynamic structures during the genesis of TPV were investigated through the equation of  vorticity budget, apparent heat source and apparent moisture sink. The results show that ERA5 and ERA-Interim could well reproduced the genesis of TPV. The ERA5 had the best ability to simulate the low-level cyclonic circulation, the spiral rainbands of TPV, and it produced the heaviest rainfall among three simulations. The FNL data could not portray the genesis of this TPV and its rainfall pattern. The development of positive vorticity, heat and moisture budgets during TPV generation were closely related to corresponding vertical transportation in lower troposphere. Before the genesis of TPV, surface sensible heating played an important role. During the development of TPV, strongest upward motion and most significant rainfall occurred, which was contributed mainly by obvious latent heating of condensation and eddy vertical transport process of heat and moisture, and conducive to the development of simulated vortex.

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Projection of Global Wind and Solar Energy over Land Under Different Climate Change Scenarios During 2020-2030
ZHANG Feimin, WANG Chenghai, XIE Guohui, KONG Weizheng
Journal of Arid Meteorology    DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2018)-05-0725
Effects of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau’s Spring Surface Diabatic Heating#br# Anomalies on the East Asian Summer Monsoon Intensity
CUI Yang, CHANG Zhoulin, YU Lian, WANG Chenghai
Journal of Arid Meteorology    DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2017)-01-0001
Accepted: 12 March 2019

Numerical Simulation About Thermal Forcing Effect on Southwest Vortex’s Developing Mechanism
ZHANG Zhengtai, LIN Mingyu, QI Peng, CHEN Shengzhe, WANG Chenghai
Journal of Arid Meteorology    DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2016)-03-0533
Changes of Water Vapor Budget in Arid Area of Northwest China and Its Relationship with Precipitation
XU Dong, KONG Ying, WANG Chenghai
Journal of Arid Meteorology    DOI: P467
Simulation of Temperature and Precipitation in China in the Last 30 Years by Using the RegCM4
GONG Chongshui, DUAN Haixia, LI Yaohui, WANG Chenghai, REN Yulong
Journal of Arid Meteorology    DOI: 10.11755/j.issn.1006-7639(2015)-03-0379
Application and Test of Lower Level Wind Field Simulation with Meso - scale Model WRF in Western Region of Northwest China
WANG Chenghai1,HU Ju1,JIN Shuanglong1,FENG Shuanglei2,LIU Chun2
J4    2011, 29 (2): 161-167.  
Abstract1876)      PDF(pc) (981KB)(2179)       Save

In this paper,the performance of WRF model is validated by simulating wind velocity in January and April over northwestern China,and the errors between simulated and observed values were investigated . Results show that WRF performance was better in April,when wind speed was big and steady,surface heating strong and temperature increasing faster,but in January wind speed was lower but gust frequently occurred. The relative error in 48 hours at different levels was under 10%,the correlation coefficient ( above0. 8) between observed and simulated values was significant at 90% in April. In January,the mean value of relative error in 48 hours
at different levels was in the range of 20%,and the absolute value of the correlation coefficient was more than 0. 30 and significant at the 99% confidence level. During the two simulation durations,the simulated value was obviously smaller than observed value when wind speed was high. Due to wind dominated by higher level momentum transfer downwards,terrain and thermodynamic function of land surface,the PBL parameters scheme in model is crucial in simulation of wind,especially in northwest China,where vegetable is sparse and terrain complex.

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